Simulation and Risk Analysis Case Study

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The purpose of this assignment is to use analytics techniques to analyze a case problem.

Read Case Study 12.3 “Sound’s Alive Company” from the textbook.

Use Frontline Analytic Solver Platform to set up a simulation model
and run a simulation for the case. Use the “Topic 3 Case Study Template”
file as a starting point.

After the simulation is run, create statistical distributions to
describe the discrete probability behavior (mean, standard deviation,
etc.) of the Materials, Overhead, Tax Rate, and SG&A Rate discrete
probability distributions.

In a 500-750 word summary to company management, address the
following. Include relevant charts and graphs within your summary, as
needed.

  1. Describe the case specific business requirements and how they can be communicated across all levels of the organization.
  2. Based on the simulation results, discuss the expected net profit for
    the years 2015 through 2018, and the expected NPV for this business
    venture.
  3. The Board of Trustees told Marissa that the stockholders would feel
    comfortable with this business venture if its NPV is at least $5
    million. Discuss the chances that Sound’s Alive home theater venture
    will result in an NPV of $5 million or more.
  4. Discuss which discrete probability distribution has the most dispersion and explain why.
  5. Based on the NPV statistical distributions and other information
    gleaned from your analysis, discuss the specific prescribed course of
    action you would recommend to company management and justify your
    recommendations. Include discussion of how the proposed analytics
    solutions can optimize organizational performance and effectiveness.

Submit your summary and associated Microsoft Excel files to the
instructor. Note that the Microsoft Excel files should include all
Solver settings, functions, and formulas used to generate the problem
solutions.

While APA style is not required for the body of this assignment,
solid academic writing is expected, and documentation of sources should
be presented using APA formatting guidelines, which can be found in the
APA Style Guide, located in the Student Success Center.

This assignment uses a rubric. Please review the rubric prior to

beginning the assignment to become familiar with the expectations for

successful completion.

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